Trends in the formal sector

Just as a general trend, Emergency Services and the coordination tend to be “command and control” while people with social work background are the folks actually in the field. 

The implementation of Project 2025 will change crisis response. 

  • FEMA might be moved from DHS to Interior or Transportation, demoting its position in the decision making structures.
  • Financial support will be eliminated for key programs (flood insurance, small business disaster support, etc) and pushed onto states that rarely have budget for filling the gap.
  • First Responders might not be allowed to do what is in their moral and professional code: to provide aid to all, with no discrimination on the basis of nationality, race, gender, religion, political opinion, sexuality, or class. 

These concrete steps aligned with Project 2025 fit into a bigger strategy:

  1. Active operations to diminish trust in the public sector AND public servants.
  2. Privatization of independent agencies and/or funding flows related to the social safety net and management of disaster risk.
  3. Centralization of power in an executive and a party.
  4. Pushing accountability for disaster response onto state and local response agencies and away from the federal government. This is bad because some states are disproportionately impacted by disasters. Additionally, being more specific in location can make the boom/bust model of disaster funding difficult to plan for. 

What does this mean for working with response leaders?

  • The management of trust becomes paramount for building and sustaining a working relationship with representatives of the formal sector and other actors. Trust becomes something you curate: knowing when to build it, knowing when to work independently, knowing when to dissociate.
  • The chaos created by these sometimes contradictory policies is an ideal place for local bad actors to harness community goodwill to their ends. The risks of informal groups mobilizing around a leader with (for example) narcissism increase in proportion to the inability of traditional structures to tamp down on these bad actors’ power. Managing these dynamics has already been a challenge in previous operations. Imaging the mirroring that is happening with a President who exhibits these traits.

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Authors

  • John Crowley playing cello at Burning Man

    John Crowley is an expert in connecting grassroots and government around crisis response. He has held leadership and technologist posts at the Red Cross (IFRC), United Nations, and multiple humanitarian NGOs.

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